Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.020987 0.024477 0.028330 0.032894 0.038147 0.043998 0.051006
2025-10-26 0.015115 0.019457 0.024703 0.031488 0.040009 0.050335 0.063774
2025-11-02 0.011221 0.015758 0.021693 0.029978 0.041197 0.055803 0.076197
2025-11-09 0.008694 0.013200 0.019522 0.028965 0.042620 0.061543 0.089617
2025-11-16 0.007099 0.011558 0.018221 0.028787 0.044979 0.068672 0.105728
2025-11-23 0.005747 0.009984 0.016694 0.027935 0.046094 0.074011 0.119797
2025-11-30 0.005114 0.009413 0.016579 0.029180 0.050501 0.084718 0.143196
2025-12-07 0.004389 0.008538 0.015802 0.029177 0.052817 0.092321 0.162487
2025-12-14 0.003660 0.007512 0.014584 0.028194 0.053278 0.096836 0.177085
2025-12-21 0.003157 0.006812 0.013828 0.027897 0.054844 0.103321 0.195674
2025-12-28 0.002947 0.006653 0.014050 0.029435 0.059926 0.116513 0.227529
2026-01-04 0.002687 0.006340 0.013919 0.030251 0.063709 0.127702 0.256855
2026-01-11 0.002293 0.005673 0.012983 0.029346 0.064075 0.132657 0.275286
2026-01-18 0.002006 0.005194 0.012371 0.029027 0.065581 0.139982 0.299148
2026-01-25 0.001717 0.004656 0.011538 0.028101 0.065684 0.144500 0.317886
2026-02-01 0.001486 0.004212 0.010848 0.027385 0.066129 0.149741 0.338638
2026-02-08 0.001326 0.003923 0.010473 0.027339 0.068047 0.158266 0.367176
2026-02-15 0.001152 0.003555 0.009846 0.026588 0.068233 0.163035 0.388063
2026-02-22 0.001093 0.003500 0.010004 0.027809 0.073248 0.179061 0.435545
2026-03-01 0.000986 0.003286 0.009708 0.027822 0.075316 0.188585 0.469234
2026-03-08 0.000856 0.002971 0.009089 0.026891 0.074896 0.192252 0.489706
2026-03-15 0.000765 0.002762 0.008731 0.026611 0.076105 0.199918 0.520420
2026-03-22 0.000742 0.002766 0.008986 0.028084 0.082122 0.219923 0.582964